Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 6.824482 7.894673 9.039684 10.351624 11.808868 13.373490 15.175956
2025-05-11 5.260487 6.706190 8.367959 10.401891 12.805862 15.538184 18.859016
2025-05-18 3.995944 5.597614 7.568450 10.131139 13.331607 17.151832 22.007811
2025-05-25 3.089573 4.743664 6.915526 9.901646 13.819337 18.699545 25.144214
2025-06-01 2.474893 4.147179 6.480243 9.854333 14.477691 20.452629 28.601444
2025-06-08 1.988392 3.632771 6.065768 9.755898 15.018308 22.047862 31.912213
2025-06-15 1.756180 3.453685 6.091791 10.251296 16.375110 24.770256 36.813244
2025-06-22 1.464945 3.121034 5.833429 10.286646 17.060061 26.591434 40.567077
2025-06-29 1.151813 2.684642 5.344380 9.904897 17.083343 27.461329 43.022564
2025-07-06 0.895682 2.293853 4.867923 9.477155 16.979658 28.111988 45.163037
2025-07-13 0.814246 2.228906 4.942514 9.946665 18.276130 30.848898 50.374749
2025-07-20 0.779552 2.254543 5.179993 10.703318 20.060877 34.376094 56.848664
2025-07-27 0.719282 2.217319 5.304241 11.289082 21.630067 37.685571 63.189450
2025-08-03 0.610699 2.043819 5.143257 11.353586 22.346015 39.721959 67.718245
2025-08-10 0.488356 1.802881 4.811000 11.069515 22.451626 40.805891 70.844821
2025-08-17 0.391351 1.597926 4.519749 10.826836 22.600507 41.949590 74.087045
2025-08-24 0.324414 1.455801 4.341086 10.778035 23.073551 43.616823 78.175290
2025-08-31 0.265398 1.316820 4.146194 10.673525 23.432143 45.101173 82.013327
2025-09-07 0.247228 1.307558 4.257993 11.205686 24.976484 48.595546 89.131455
2025-09-14 0.208405 1.211366 4.140829 11.243984 25.602441 50.570723 93.870915
2025-09-21 0.158906 1.051221 3.831388 10.834663 25.353380 51.046293 96.193297
2025-09-28 0.117965 0.901251 3.517173 10.375619 24.969336 51.260198 98.076905
2025-10-05 0.110432 0.900576 3.621445 10.879680 26.497180 54.846394 105.612770